Obama banks on forgetful American voters
Barack Obama is, to paraphrase Hunter Thompson, running a 2008 campaign in 2012.
The 2008 campaign allowed the unknown and poorly vetted Obama to successfully tar John McCain, an unattractive, weak, and plodding candidate (that is, Bob Dole without any of Bob Dole’s redeeming qualities) as the flag-bearing successor to the war-weariness and later, the financial meltdowns that occurred during the Bush Administration.
In 2012, Obama owns the wars and all that goes with it (and check out the roaring silence) and the economy is in the toilet. Yet Obama is again attempting to tar the Republican candidate, a more attractive, stronger, and less plodding candidate, with the “he’s George Bush” tag.
In 2008 Obama made McCain into a Bush surrogate. But the Obama challenge for 2012 is he has a record of his own and it’s quite an ugly one at that. From Thompson, circa early 1973:
Any incumbent President is unbeatable, except in a time of mushrooming national crisis or a scandal so heinous – and with such obvious roots in the White House – as to pose a clear and present danger to the financial security and/or physical safety of millions of voters in every corner of the country.
If Thompson is correct—his personal judgment is not that great, but his observations are often on-track—Obama’s loss in November is all but assured.